Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2023

Golf betting tips for the Farmers Insurance Open (in more detail):

Taylor Montgomery:

• Each-way (1.5 points e/w @ 25/1 with William Hill – 8 places, 1/5 odds).

• Current form (last 5 starts): T10 – T57 – T15 – T12 – 5.

• Tournament form (last 5 starts): DNP – DNP – DNP – DNP – T11.

Reasons to believe – Taylor Montgomery:

• Course form.

• Current form. 

“I’ve got to be honest, Rahm is red-hot at the moment and a former winner here, so I expect him to win, but he is a very short price favourite and a little short for me, so I’m instead looking around for some each-way value. Taylor Montgomery is playing so well at the moment, making 9 cuts in a row, with top-15 finishes in his last 5 events, so I can’t look past him in terms of my main pick this week. He finished T11 here last year, at his first attempt and he is due his big break-out win” – ParUp Golf’s resident tipster ‘Big Dal’ on why he can win.

Keegan Bradley: 

• Each-way (1 point e/w @ 50/1 with William Hill – 8 places, 1/5 odds).

• Current form (last 5 starts): MC – 34 – T21 – 1 – T5.

• Tournament form (last 5 starts): 5 – T35 – T16 – DNP – T62.

Reasons to believe – Keegan Bradley:

• Course form.

• Strokes gained: Tee to green (Ranked 23rd) – PGA Tour season stats (’21/’22). 

“Keegan Bradley’s record around here is pretty average with only 2 x top 20 finishes in the last 5 years. However he is in great form, with 3 x top 25 finishes in the last 3 events, including a win” – ParUp Golf’s resident tipster ‘Big Dal’ on why he can win.

Thomas Detry:

• Each-way (1 point e/w @ 80/1 with William Hill – 8 places, 1/5 odds).

• Current form (last 5 starts): 2 – T15 – T13 – 68 – T26.

• Tournament form (last 5 starts): 1st appearance. 

Reasons to believe – Thomas Detry:

• Current form.

“This bet is very much an instinctive, gut feeling one. It’s his first appearance in this event, but Dentry has been playing well this season. He has made 5 cuts in a row, with 2 x top 15 finishes, including a 2nd place finish. Based on this, I think his odds look generous at 80/1, so worth a speculative each-way bet” – ParUp Golf’s resident tipster ‘Big Dal’ on why he can win. 

Patrick Rodgers:

• Each-way (1 point e/w @ 90/1 with William Hill – 8 places, 1/5 odds).

• Current form (last 5 starts): T3 – T27 – T16 – T10 – MC.

• Tournament form (last 5 starts): MC – MC – T9 – MC – T62.

Reasons to believe – Patrick Rodgers:

• Course form. 

• Strokes gained: Putting (Ranked 30th) – PGA Tour season stats (’21/’22). 

“Rodgers had been on a good recent run of form, up until his last event, where he missed the cut. Similar to Keegan Bradley’s form round here, it is pretty up and down, but he does have a top 10 finish here on his record, so I’m hoping he can rediscover that recent form and push his way into contention” – ParUp Golf’s resident tipster ‘Big Dal’ on why he can win.

Adam Long:

• Each-way (1 point e/w @ 250/1 with William Hill – 8 places, 1/5 odds).

• Current form (last 5 starts): MC – MC – MC – T48 – MC.

• Tournament form (last 5 starts): DNP – MC – DNP – DNP – T65.

Reasons to believe – Adam Long:

• Bogey avoidance (Ranked 18th) – PGA Tour season stats (’21/’22). 

• Strokes gained: Putting (Ranked 24th) – PGA Tour season stats (’21/’22). 

“This is a big price, so a bit of a leap of faith and another speculative one. No recent form and no record around here, but the stats say he should do better, he avoids bogeys and he his handy with his putter” – ParUp Golf’s resident tipster ‘Big Dal’ on why he can win.

Big Dal’s, big price outsider – Tyler Duncan:

• Each-way (0.5 point e/w @ 400/1 with William Hill – 8 places, 1/5 odds).

• Current form (last 5 starts): MC – MC – MC – MC – T41.

• Tournament form (last 5 starts): MC – MC – DNP – MC – DNP.

Reasons to believe – Tyler Duncan:

• Bogey avoidance (Ranked 29th) – PGA Tour season stats (’21/’22). 

• Par 4 scoring (Ranked 25th) – PGA Tour season stats (’21/’22). 

“An even bigger price here, but that’s what ‘Big Dal’s, big price outsider’ is all about, trying to get a run for our money with a more speculative selection. Let’s be honest, he is bang out of form and has no record around here. However, the stats suggest he can do better than his price suggests, he avoids bogeys and does well on par 4 scoring, so fingers crossed he can play well, put some good rounds together and give himself a chance of a top 8 finish” – ParUp Golf’s resident tipster ‘Big Dal’ on why he can win.